Logical Fallacies
Logical Fallacies / Gamblers Fallacy
Gamblers Fallacy icon

Gambler's Fallacy

The gambler's fallacy is based on the false belief that separate, independent events can affect the likelihood of another random event, or that if something happens often that it is less likely that the same will take place in the future.

Example of Gambler's Fallacy

  • Edna had rolled a 6 with the dice the last 9 consecutive times. Surely it would be highly unlikely that she would roll another 6 on the 10th time. The previous rolls have no bearing on the next roll of the dice.
  • My sister's first three children have been girls. The fourth one is sure to be a boy. The chances of the fourth baby being a boy are 50/50

This is a common fallacy.

Books About Logical Fallacies

A few books to help you get a real handle on logical fallacies.

Logically Fallacious Buy On Amazon The Fallacy Detective Buy On Amazon The Art of the Argument Buy On Amazon The above book links to Amazon are affiliate links. If you click through and make a purchase, I may get a commission from the sale.